How Would a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Play Out? War-gamers plan for Taiwan’s D-Day.

[livingston]

How Would a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Play Out?​

War-gamers plan for Taiwan’s D-Day.​

War game designer and expert Major Tom Mouat oversees a “One China” game at the U.K. Defence Academy on Nov. 9. NEAL E. ROBBINS PHOTO/FOREIGN POLICY ILLUSTRATION
SHRIVENHAM, England—It’s 2025. China has blockaded Taiwan. Aircraft carriers, submarines, and war planes circle the island, keeping out all but humanitarian aid. U.S., Taiwanese, and allied battleships hover nearby, but tense talks have drawn a blank. Then a bloody invasion starts.

How did it come to this?

Maj. Tom Mouat watches with dismay. This is not how things usually play out. “We’ve got to a shooting war, which is really depressing,” he said. The British war-gaming expert has run this simulation before. Normally, when pitting Beijing’s ambitions of control against its democratic neighbor’s commitment to self-governance, conflict just “inches a bit closer to happening.” Then everybody backs off. But this time, as Mouat put it, there is a stream of “declarations coming out of China, and [the war in] Ukraine has changed the balance.” Even as the game’s role-players were making their moves on Nov. 9, Chinese President Xi Jinping, in the real world, told his army chiefs to “comprehensively strengthen military training in preparation for war”—words seen as a warning for Taiwan and the United States, which helps arm Taipei and maintains a “keep them guessing” policy about its willingness to come to the island’s defense.

One of the earliest known war games was designed in ancient China, often credited to the general Sun Tzu. By the 17th century, complex war games had been developed, such as a “king’s game” that was widely used by the militaries of the German states. In the 19th and 20th centuries, as growing armies made full-scale mobilization practice impractical or provocative, more nations started using war games to help simulate deployment. War games have since grown apace, for both strategy and leisure. Mouat runs classified games for decision-makers in Britain and other countries; dedicated aficionados also play unclassified versions that Mouat has posted online, along with a 52-page practical guide.

How Would a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Play Out?

War-gamers plan for Taiwan’s D-Day.

foreignpolicy.com

 

[livingston]

Training tomorrow’s leaders, and cyber armed forces on a $40 game.​

Tucked away in the leafy South West of England, secured from neighbours and behind high security paraphernalia is an academy which, amongst its many offerings, specialises in gaming and simulations.

MBA elite universities,FTSE 100 conferences, Nintendo; few can rival this place where simulations and scenario planing carry consequences that go far beyond exam certificates and commercial imperatives.

On campus, software gizmos and million pound simulators wrestle for attention amid a spectrum of military hardware, such as the £4m Challenger 2 Tank, and rooms called “The JFC Battle Lab Simulation and Synthetic Environment Lab”.

Training tomorrow’s leaders, and cyber armed forces on a $40 game.

Tucked away in the leafy South West of England, secured from neighbours and behind high security paraphernalia is an academy which…

viewmagazine.medium.com

 

[meketrefe]

Taiwan has been preparing for this for 40 years.
It will be very hard to take taiwan by war of attrition so most likely will never happen that way.
Same reason Putin will loose. ... well everyone looses in a war but that is a different discussion.

 

[Zerex]

War is never a controlled affair............it is chaos, and unintended consequences always occur.
WWI's interlocking agreements come to mind when the bombs start dropping.

Expect to live as a reluctant Libertarian for some time, if it comes to pass.

Secret attacks? Pick a day...Superbowl Sunday...Daytona 500, Basketball Championship day.
Balloons may yet work for the enemy.


Remember they are Godless communists whom the Chinese people also hate, and sabotage military goods and products constantly, as part of a revenge program like the Jews in WWII factories.