I will have to agree to disagree.
We can talk about the hypothetical odds of a candidate winning or we can talk about the candidates themselves. I am compelled to vote for the person I feel would best suit the role. It would be dishonest of me as an American to do anything else. My votes a dud in NY anyway unless I vote Democrat (which I wouldn't do). I'm going to vote for the pro-gun candidate.
All good. Vote for the person that fits you best.
But....
In this election, not one person, besides Trump or Biden has a chance of winning.
That is fact. May be a shame, but a fact.