Hillary's 85% Chance of Winning

[Darth]

Would you stop with the pessimism?

The left's messiah site "fivethirtyeight.com" shows Hillary almost guaranteed winning.

They tout how "Nate Silver (site owner) got the last 2 elections right!!!!!!!"

I got so sick of hearing it, being skeptical, I looked it up. Yes, he got those right.

But what did he get TOTALLY wrong? THIS election. He TOTALLY bombed on Trump AND Sanders.

I got the Trump nomination totally wrong (albeit I'm disappointed in the Rs, but oh well.)

So would you please stop with the pessimism? Just chill. The media is SO blatant in this election that I personally feel that they've overplayed their hand. And even if they haven't, I think so many people see it that I feel rule of law may just crumble.

Don't believe the MSM "polls" either.

 

[GOPerfect]

Up until about a week or so prior to the actual election, polls are nothing but feed corn for those in the media.

They really mean next to nothing.

The polls will in fact began to look different in a couple of weeks.

 

[Dr. Evil]

I'm getting a pep talk about Trump from darth. WTF is going on?

 

[dsdmmat]

Anyone who lets polls shift their decision deserves the slavery they will inherit.

 

[BerettaGuy]

As we get closer to Election Day we will be bombarded with: Hillary ahead in the Polls! Because the consensus is Americans won't vote for a loser. And Trump supporters might as well stay home. Who will be bombarding us? the so called News Media.
If there are polls that show Trump edging ahead. The message will be muted and switched to But he doesnt' have a chance in the Electoral College, as in NY for example. Even though 55 of the 61 counties will go for Trump the NY City Votes will go for Hildabeast so the message will be, Don't even bother you UpStaters. You are wasting your time. Stay the hell home.

 

[BerettaGuy]

Anyone who lets polls shift their decision deserves the slavery they will inherit.

ANyone who is undecided at this point is an idiot.

 

[Dr. Evil]

Anyone who lets polls shift their decision deserves the slavery they will inherit.

Dude, Dylan's got nothing on you. That was brilliant.

 

[4excal]

The only real "Pole" is Hillary.

 

[4excal]

If you follow Trump he always has a 47% lead over her 43% if you follow any media it is Hillary 47% over his 43%. Every debate, same story, every day same story..so dumb that people get tricked in the skewed "National Poll" of 650 people picked purposely..yea us other 319,000,250 people don't matter??

 

[Dr. Evil]

IMHO, this last debate is huge. Trump should make one statement about the "women" and then just hammer away at what he'll do different than his opponent. Talk about what he will do the first 24 hours when elected and in the first month of his presidency. He needs to lay out who all of his staff will be and what their expertise is. Give Americans confidence he has a job to do which is turn this country around and in a different direction than his opponent. The second debate was his platform to shred Hillary with all of her crap, now is the time to roll up your sleeves and get busy with the solution. A couple of wiki leak jabs well placed will be the icing on the cake.

 

[BerettaGuy]

..yea us other 319,000,250 people don't matter??

Here is clear as mud breakdown of the 225,778,000 million voters which includes pets cartoon names and the dead
2016 electorate will be the most diverse in U.S. history

This of it this way
319,000,250 total population of US Citizens and Illegals
225,778,000 Registered Citizens - illegals - pets - Cartoon Characters - and the dead
93,222,250 children - and people that have not registered.

Needed to win 112,889,000 plus 1

 

[Truebeliever]

Does "Dewey defeats Truman" repeat itself?

This election , it is possible. The Hollywood and media elite have made support of Trump a "public" no-no or else fear their wraith.

It is a new McCarthyism but people are starting to wake up to it.

If Trump can positively "prove" just one of these women were lying and the media or democrats were behind it then it might happen-if he can get the news out. (The media seems to quash any criticism of its own ) such as when the debate happens.

At a minimum he should announce that he is filing a billion dollar lawsuit against The NY Times during the debate. That will get the media to report that. And that he will own that paper win or lose the election

 

[4excal]

If Trump can positively "prove" just one of these women were lying and the media or democrats were behind it then it might happen-if he can get the news out. (The media seems to quash any criticism of its own )

I ain't gonna lie.. I tend to believe one (or more) of these bullshit ladies probably. Think of when he was a billionaire playboy type 70s,80s,90s, he was the shit, the king of kings, always surrounded by beautiful girls throwing themselves at him..married him even..the chances that he did "touch" a couple are extremely high in my mind. BUT to be scumbag political Dem pawns like the Kahns..and come out with this news decades later and only to balance out the wikileak email dump, is cheap disgusting and quite Deplorable once again by the media and politicians for real!


At a minimum he should announce that he is filing a billion dollar lawsuit against The NY Times during the debate. That will get the media to report that. And that he will own that paper win or lose the election


This would be a great thing to do. I agree completely. The sheep,are only hearing, "grabbed pussy, and now, sexual harassment" they need to hear big scary words like billion dollar slander and libel suit against his accusers to maybe wake up. But it's doubtful, the MSM has the USA wrapped up and under a blanket..still won't work and we'll only hear more of things against Trump and nothing about Hillary. It's just to obvious, if Trump wins ALL politicians lose.. I just can't see that happening unfortunately that's like the Country going all Solar and the NYSEGs and ConEDs of the country don't makema dime anymore..or Electric cars(that were invented during Fords Model T times) taking over and gas stations and oil production ceases to make trillions upon trillions of dollars..BS that will happen. Were fucked lol.

 

[BerettaGuy]

IMHO, this last debate is huge. Trump should make one statement about the "women" and then just hammer away at what he'll do different than his opponent. Talk about what he will do the first 24 hours when elected and in the first month of his presidency. He needs to lay out who all of his staff will be and what their expertise is. Give Americans confidence he has a job to do which is turn this country around and in a different direction than his opponent. The second debate was his platform to shred Hillary with all of her crap, now is the time to roll up your sleeves and get busy with the solution. A couple of wiki leak jabs well placed will be the icing on the cake.

I still want to hear him answer with something like this:
Chris, What the Hell are you doing asking me a question that has been answered over and over again about things i said in my youth. I am running for President to save this country from Globalist Elitists like George Soros and his servant Hillary Clinton. My motive for running is simply love of country. Her motive is the self enrichment of the Clinton Crime Family. Unlike her, I don't need this job! That is what your should be concentrating your questions to. That is what Americans want to hear about. If you want to save a Constitutional Republic then vote for me. If you want a One World Government with districts where elites and fashion designers rule the world, if you want a world like Hunger Games or any one of a dozen other Hollywood depictions of the future, then Vote for Hillary. It is that simple.

 

[Kentuckyrifleman]

Anybody who has a good track record of predicting election outcomes you should take a good look at. Whoever is paying them is responsible for counting the votes.

 

[Blimey]

Would you stop with the pessimism?

The left's messiah site "fivethirtyeight.com" shows Hillary almost guaranteed winning.

They tout how "Nate Silver (site owner) got the last 2 elections right!!!!!!!"

I got so sick of hearing it, being skeptical, I looked it up. Yes, he got those right.

But what did he get TOTALLY wrong? THIS election. He TOTALLY bombed on Trump AND Sanders.

I got the Trump nomination totally wrong (albeit I'm disappointed in the Rs, but oh well.)

So would you please stop with the pessimism? Just chill. The media is SO blatant in this election that I personally feel that they've overplayed their hand. And even if they haven't, I think so many people see it that I feel rule of law may just crumble.

Don't believe the MSM "polls" either.

I don't think that's true. Remember, Nate has never said anything is 100%. He even gives gary johnson a .1% chance of winning this election.

If he says something is 95% likely to happen and it doesn't, it doesn't mean his statistical model was wrong.

AFAIK the vast bulk of primary elections that 538 called were accurate. I continue to give stock to 538's projections.

If the election were held today Trump would have a very small chance of winning. It's just a fact. Can he make up ground in three weeks? Not sure. Probably not. I expect him to lose, just as I have said for months.

 

[4excal]

I don't think that's true. Remember, Nate has never said anything is 100%. He even gives gary johnson a .1% chance of winning this election.

If he says something is 95% likely to happen and it doesn't, it doesn't mean his statistical model was wrong.

AFAIK the vast bulk of primary elections that 538 called were accurate. I continue to give stock to 538's projections.

If the election were held today Trump would have a very small chance of winning. It's just a fact. Can he make up ground in three weeks? Not sure. Probably not. I expect him to lose, just as I have said for months.

Well first of all it's pretty easy to "pick the winner", any human can guess on a pretty much 48% 48% 2% coin flip and get it right every 4 years..so for me and my opinion, I put zero stock in any nostrodamus type election picker.

Your closing sentences are sadly true I fear. As I want Trump to win,badly, I do expect him to lose to corruption and riggery. This Country is far to bought and owned by the elite rich and big Corporations..to change all of that will cause a sorta of implosion..it's unfortunate to think like this, but it's shamefully possible.

 

[Deplorable Me]

It's called psychological warfare, it's not what you know its what you think.

Revolutions can be had and nations overthrown without firing a shot. After the illegitimate election and the passing of new laws the real bloodletting will begin. Communist called it the purge, where all the unhappy people were removed from society. ISIS is currently engaged in their little version.

Politics is warfare minus the guns.

 

[Celt]

I really believe Trump is going to pull it off. All this email nonsense and the over the top media bias is hurting Hitlery among independents. The die-hard Liberals will always vote liberal even if she was being charged with murder, which she should be.

 

[UpStateEd]

Finally located a TRUMP sign..will be posting it shortly up here - which is 800 yards from the Canadian border1

 

[SubOhm]

Hate to be the downer here but "Don't listen to the polls"....sounds familiar. Remember when we were all so optimistic about astorino?

Killary has already won the presidency. I'd put money on it

 

[Darth]

Yesterday in my Facebook news feed, there were 7 out of 10 blatant anti Trump articles.

Today there is 1. Alongside "Snooki got a boob job."

What happened? Did you try a little too hard?

 

[UpStateEd]

This ain't the Astorino or Romney race...anything could go and things could swing swiftly (again).

P.S. If I wanted to see a lot of negative posts..could just go to the NYFirearms Forum!

 

[4excal]

P.S. If I wanted to see a lot of negative posts..could just go to the NYFirearms Forum!

Orange is the new Black...or I mean the migration is almost complete

 

[Phauxtoe]

you are only as good as your data,
and he is taping into SHIT Data from biased media sources.

Polls are not accurate!
nate was Real Lucky the first time and barely correct the second time.

nate got TRUMP wrong FROM DAY ONE!
FUNate
How I Acted Like A Pundit And Screwed Up On Donald Trump

 

[Blimey]

Well first of all it's pretty easy to "pick the winner", any human can guess on a pretty much 48% 48% 2% coin flip and get it right every 4 years..so for me and my opinion, I put zero stock in any nostrodamus type election picker.

Your closing sentences are sadly true I fear. As I want Trump to win,badly, I do expect him to lose to corruption and riggery. This Country is far to bought and owned by the elite rich and big Corporations..to change all of that will cause a sorta of implosion..it's unfortunate to think like this, but it's shamefully possible.

But nate doesn't just pick the last winners which is easy. He picked also virtually all the states and the final percentages very closely.

 

[Blimey]

you are only as good as your data,
and he is taping into SHIT Data from biased media sources.

Polls are not accurate!
nate was Real Lucky the first time and barely correct the second time.

nate got TRUMP wrong FROM DAY ONE!
FUNate
How I Acted Like A Pundit And Screwed Up On Donald Trump

In the 2012 election he called the final popular vote within 1.5% and the electoral within about 15 votes IIRC. He currently has trump down 5-6 last I checked. Trump desperately needs his own October surprise or else he is done.

 

[218bee]

Stony Brook Prof. Says its gonna be Trump by a landslide %97. Article was written before Bernie tapped out....

Professor Claims His Statistical Model Shows Who Will Become President

 

[Dr. Evil]

I still want to hear him answer with something like this:
Chris, What the Hell are you doing asking me a question that has been answered over and over again about things i said in my youth. I am running for President to save this country from Globalist Elitists like George Soros and his servant Hillary Clinton. My motive for running is simply love of country. Her motive is the self enrichment of the Clinton Crime Family. Unlike her, I don't need this job! That is what your should be concentrating your questions to. That is what Americans want to hear about. If you want to save a Constitutional Republic then vote for me. If you want a One World Government with districts where elites and fashion designers rule the world, if you want a world like Hunger Games or any one of a dozen other Hollywood depictions of the future, then Vote for Hillary. It is that simple.

Please send this to him.

 

[Phazer]

I really believe Trump is going to pull it off. All this email nonsense and the over the top media bias is hurting Hitlery among independents. The die-hard Liberals will always vote liberal even if she was being charged with murder, which she should be.

Hope for the best, fine.

But, be realistic and keep preparing for the worst.