Things are heating up in Taiwan

[holdover]

China will do fookin nothin.

After the fight the Ukrainians gave the Russians with western aid It would behoove the Chinese to re-evaluate the paper tiger theory.

With modern weapons a contested beach landing across 120 miles of open ocean is a foregone conclusion. laser guided weapons would ruin their weekend , with an airborne/airmoblie invasion the supply lines can not be guaranteed to remain open

 

[Drinkthekoolaid]

Nothing to see here move along

China may have surpassed US in number of nuclear warheads on ICBMs

Republicans are spotlighting a classified STRATCOM assessment that suggests China may have more nuclear warheads on its 300 ICBMs than the U.S.

www.yahoo.com

 

[JaguarJaguarGolf]

Assumption is that China will only use conventional weapons.

 

[Drinkthekoolaid]

Assumption is that China will only use conventional weapons.

I'm not so sure...

Somehow I think commie totalitarian dictators are perfectly content to kill 100 million people before breakfast and not lose appetite

 

[holdover]

Assumption is that China will only use conventional weapons.

I cant see them using them against Taiwan. The whole point is control unification, re-possession.

Against the US in a direct fight? I can agree with that.

 

[tirwin1]

Interesting....

Remote Corner of Taiwan Confronts Wartime Scenario: Life With No Internet

Matsu’s damaged undersea cables cut off family communication and forced businesses to use cash, in a potential preview of Chinese attack.

www.wsj.com

 

[tirwin1]

Nothing to worry about here:

Zerohedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

www.zerohedge.com

 

[prambo]

The PCR/CCP will wait until the fUSA is nearing the crescendo of a financial shitstorm and all the attendant civil unrest.

Shouldn't be too long now.

And then they'll waltz into Taiwan....and...

 

[GOPerfect]

 

[fresch]

The USA of all countries has zero skin in this game.
Perhaps the Dutch, Spain, Portugal, Britain, Japan, and China have A claim; depending on how far back in time you like to go.
We will fight to "stop communism" we need the communism for the US!

 

[dsdmmat]

Congress critters never met a war they couldn’t profit personally from.

 

[Drinkthekoolaid]

We are damned if we do and damned if we don't.

I was much more pro defend Taiwan against China with American forces, now I'm not so sure that's wise anymore.

 

[GOPerfect]

We are damned if we do and damned if we don't.

I was much more pro defend Taiwan against China with American forces, now I'm not so sure that's wise anymore.

I do not want to help Taiwan or the Ukraine. I do not care about either place. If Russia and China want to push forward, good for them. Leave our Soldiers out of it.

 

[holdover]

Heres the thing, the US recognizes Taiwan as part of China. the one China policy. Nobody recognizes Taiwan as an independent state, nor has Taiwan declared independence from China. Its not an invasion as much as an insurrection.

As much as I dont like the Chinese or the stuff they make, they have a legitimate point.

That being said , A blockade of Taiwan is a pretty good move for China . An actual invasion would be highly risky .

 

[JaguarJaguarGolf]

The determining factor on what the USA will do is how much money the people who claim to be elected by us can make for either/any scenario.

 

[holdover]

The determining factor on what the USA will do is how much money the people who claim to be elected by us can make for either/any scenario.

Wall st is heavily invested in Taiwan . So there's that.

 

[Drinkthekoolaid]

I do not want to help Taiwan or the Ukraine. I do not care about either place. If Russia and China want to push forward, good for them. Leave our Soldiers out of it.

I agree.

I am all for staying the hell out of Ukraine/ Russia. We're committing a terrible blunder.

I completely distrust china but I do not want to risk war over Taiwan.

 

[GOPerfect]

I agree.

I am all for staying the hell out of Ukraine/ Russia. We're committing a terrible blunder.

I completely distrust china but I do not want to risk war over Taiwan.

If China wants to 100% control Taiwan, this should not be up to our Soldiers to defend. In the past 100 years or so, the US has lost far too many Servicemen to wars that we should not have been in.

This possible war with China over Taiwan falls into this category.

 

[Drinkthekoolaid]

If China wants to 100% control Taiwan, this should not be up to our Soldiers to defend. In the past 100 years or so, the US has lost far too many Servicemen to wars that we should not have been in.

This possible war with China over Taiwan falls into this category.

The average us citizen has no idea what war with china will mean for them. Their idea of war is fighting 3rd world countries in shit holes on the other side of the world having no impact on their day to day lives. This war would be completely different. Americans would die in large numbers and life back here in conus would be significantly harder, strained and would be targeted and affected. The war would be brought home here in ways most US citizens are completely unprepared for.

Its a terrible idea and we need to stay the hell out and just worry about ourselves.

 

[spat]

Too late to send them once the invasion happens.

You want them there *now* like they are in South Korea, because that will prevent an invasion at all.

Tell China to go fuck themselves, and lease a few square miles for a US base on the island.

China will never dare invade if there are 20,000 US Marines stationed there drinking and whoring their way around the place.

Authorize shore leave for a few Burke's, such that there's always one or two in port too.

That means China *cannot* invade without effectively declaring war on the US.

It makes our intentions clear and unambiguous, and it means they cannot convince themselves that we would sit things out if they invaded.

If we'd had a few tank divisions practicing joint exercises with the Ukrainians in the east, Russia never would have invaded their either.

Putin would have been pissed, for sure, and he would have gone off on a tirade about how provocative it was, but he would have done it with all his troops staying on his side of the border.

 

[meketrefe]

China will never own Taiwan.
The communist have 10 years left if not less before the whole thing implodes.

 

[holdover]

China will never own Taiwan.
The communist have 10 years left if not less before the whole thing implodes.

Taiwan is China

 

[ArmedCorgi]

Taiwan is China

China is asshoe

 

[Jmac00]

just be aware, if China takes Taiwan, China will own every major chip maker on the planet. China will be able to make chips with, whatever backdoor shit they want. This would be monumentally bad for the world, as the CCP will be able to control almost every appliance on the planet from your refrigerator to your washing machine, to your phone to your car/tractors, and farm equipment to airplanes and air control. the bad possibilities are unfathomable.

Yes, China does make many chips, they do control many things but the largest chip maker is in Taiwan and letting them take control of this chip maker would be very bad.

imagine in 5 or 6 years, America is in a civil war and the CCP decides to turn off all the vehicles in the country, or shut down the grid.

Ya, it may not happen, but letting China just walk in and take the place isn't a good idea, at all

 

[spat]

China will never own Taiwan.
The communist have 10 years left if not less before the whole thing implodes.

That isn't a bad estimate.

But it does leave them a 10 year window where they are desperate.

Desperate is dangerous.

 

[tirwin1]

That isn't a bad estimate.

But it does leave them a 10 year window where they are desperate.

Desperate is dangerous.

Which practically guarantees an invasion or a blockade. Particularly with the current crop of incompetents in the white house.

 

[Grimscale]

Yes, China does make many chips, they do control many things but the largest chip maker is in Taiwan and letting them take control of this chip maker would be very bad.

Well, normally I would suggest something like "bring all the employees of the chipmaking plant to the USA, build a factory, and completely demolish the one in Taiwan".
But, knowing this idiotic .gov admin, they'd probably leave the employees there, cancel any attempts to build a plant in the USA, and give billions of dollars to the chinese.
Oh, and arrest and deport any Taiwanese employee that attempts to flee the new chinese overlords.

 

[tirwin1]

Well, normally I would suggest something like "bring all the employees of the chipmaking plant to the USA, build a factory, and completely demolish the one in Taiwan".
But, knowing this idiotic .gov admin, they'd probably leave the employees there, cancel any attempts to build a plant in the USA, and give billions of dollars to the chinese.
Oh, and arrest and deport any Taiwanese employee that attempts to flee the new chinese overlords.

Taiwan has the largest high end chip factory in the world. Supposedly there are plans to build a similar one here in the US but these take plenty of capital and time (years) to manufacture.

Some scenarios see the taiwanese destroying the factory before china can get their hands on it. If that happens it will plunge the world into a recession since so many chips that go into so many products are made there.

The ukraine invasion hasn't really disrupted the world's economy. A chinese invasion of taiwand probably would. All I can say is if you are planning a purchase in the next year or two of anything that requires a high end chip - you might want to make it sooner rather than later. You don't want to experience the supply chain backlogs when the primary source of high end chips goes offline.

 

[1911guy]

It’s not that easy, but o agree with rooftop that we need to stop them someday sooner than later. We don’t need to do it with military might but we really just need to open our country up and bankrupt them. They are already on super shaky ground financially so let’s put the mail in the coffin on them.

Bankrupt them? You don't realize that they hold notes for most of the US's debt?

 

[Jmac00]

Which practically guarantees an invasion or a blockade. Particularly with the current crop of incompetents in the white house.

Incompetents? as Einstein once said "there is no unit of measurement, for this level of stupidity"